Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月5日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
32℃ <1%
31°C <1%
$30,206 交易量
$30,206 交易量
2026-09-05
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
32℃ <1%
31°C <1%
$30,206 交易量
$30,206 交易量
2026-09-05
23°C或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
24°C
$791 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,011 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,854 交易量
<1%
27°C
$8,904 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,003 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,280 交易量
100%
30°C
$4,181 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,093 交易量
<1%
32℃
$1,134 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$799 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$30,206结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,206结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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