Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月6日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 41%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
28%
30°C
41%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
$510 交易量
<1%
24°C
$555 交易量
<1%
25°C
$183 交易量
<1%
26°C
$268 交易量
<1%
27°C
$550 交易量
4%
28°C
$301 交易量
9%
29°C
$592 交易量
28%
30°C
$842 交易量
41%
31°C
$560 交易量
20%
32°C
$577 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$55 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$4,993结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,993结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity continues to drive extensive cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Metro Manila, suppressing daytime solar heating and keeping peak temperatures near 29–30°C for September 6. PAGASA outlooks and GFS/ECMWF model consensus indicate highs around 28–29°C (roughly 84°F) with 75–90% rain chances, consistent with typical September monsoon patterns that rarely allow sustained clear-sky warming. These conditions explain the market-implied concentration on 29–30°C outcomes, while any brief clearing could briefly push readings toward 31°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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