**Trader consensus strongly supports a 31°C high in Wuhan on September 5, 2026, with 94% market-implied odds, driven by consistent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to clearing skies.** Current observations show temperatures climbing toward 28–30°C by midday with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze River valley. Model consensus across sources indicates limited afternoon heating potential due to residual cloud cover, keeping the peak below 32°C. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected convective development or thicker cloud persistence that caps solar insolation, though recent data revisions have reinforced the 31°C resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日武汉气温最高？
9月5日武汉气温最高？
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$31,923 交易量
$31,923 交易量
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$31,923 交易量
$31,923 交易量
2026-09-05
27°C或以下
$4,418 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,111 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,051 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,123 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,059 交易量
99%
32°C
$2,887 交易量
2%
33°C
$2,568 交易量
1%
34°C
$2,461 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,300 交易量
<1%
36°C
$285 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$989 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly supports a 31°C high in Wuhan on September 5, 2026, with 94% market-implied odds, driven by consistent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to clearing skies.**
Current observations show temperatures climbing toward 28–30°C by midday with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze River valley. Model consensus across sources indicates limited afternoon heating potential due to residual cloud cover, keeping the peak below 32°C.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected convective development or thicker cloud persistence that caps solar insolation, though recent data revisions have reinforced the 31°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,923结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly supports a 31°C high in Wuhan on September 5, 2026, with 94% market-implied odds, driven by consistent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to clearing skies.**
Current observations show temperatures climbing toward 28–30°C by midday with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze River valley. Model consensus across sources indicates limited afternoon heating potential due to residual cloud cover, keeping the peak below 32°C.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected convective development or thicker cloud persistence that caps solar insolation, though recent data revisions have reinforced the 31°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,923结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly supports a 31°C high in Wuhan on September 5, 2026, with 94% market-implied odds, driven by consistent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy to clearing skies.** Current observations show temperatures climbing toward 28–30°C by midday with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September in the Yangtze River valley. Model consensus across sources indicates limited afternoon heating potential due to residual cloud cover, keeping the peak below 32°C. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected convective development or thicker cloud persistence that caps solar insolation, though recent data revisions have reinforced the 31°C resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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