Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 30°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph, and typical late-summer humidity near 65–70%. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this value with minimal spread, consistent with recent days’ readings and climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects this tight agreement, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects, station-specific measurement timing, or last-hour convective development not fully resolved in current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日上海气温最高？
9月5日上海气温最高？
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
25°C及以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$60,052 交易量
$60,052 交易量
2026-09-05
25°C及以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
25°C及以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$60,052 交易量
$60,052 交易量
2026-09-05
25°C及以下
$797 交易量
<1%
26°C
$665 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,597 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,785 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,986 交易量
<1%
30°C
$15,947 交易量
100%
31°C
$14,829 交易量
<1%
32°C
$7,558 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,183 交易量
<1%
34°C
$461 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$244 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 30°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph, and typical late-summer humidity near 65–70%. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this value with minimal spread, consistent with recent days’ readings and climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects this tight agreement, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects, station-specific measurement timing, or last-hour convective development not fully resolved in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$60,052结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 30°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph, and typical late-summer humidity near 65–70%. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this value with minimal spread, consistent with recent days’ readings and climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects this tight agreement, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects, station-specific measurement timing, or last-hour convective development not fully resolved in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60,052结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models and observational data from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 30°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph, and typical late-summer humidity near 65–70%. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this value with minimal spread, consistent with recent days’ readings and climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects this tight agreement, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects, station-specific measurement timing, or last-hour convective development not fully resolved in current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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