Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological mean high of approximately 30.7°C while reflecting warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that enhance boundary-layer heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover, localized heavy showers, or an unanticipated northerly wind shift could cap readings at 31°C or below, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日香港气温最高？
9月5日香港气温最高？
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
$103,671 交易量
$103,671 交易量
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
$103,671 交易量
$103,671 交易量
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$2,299 交易量
<1%
25°C
$167 交易量
<1%
26°C
$577 交易量
<1%
27°C
$979 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,983 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,508 交易量
<1%
30°C
$17,583 交易量
<1%
31°C
$21,695 交易量
<1%
32°C
$23,244 交易量
99%
33°C
$22,607 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$6,029 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological mean high of approximately 30.7°C while reflecting warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that enhance boundary-layer heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover, localized heavy showers, or an unanticipated northerly wind shift could cap readings at 31°C or below, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$103,671结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological mean high of approximately 30.7°C while reflecting warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that enhance boundary-layer heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover, localized heavy showers, or an unanticipated northerly wind shift could cap readings at 31°C or below, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$103,671结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum near 32°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological mean high of approximately 30.7°C while reflecting warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea that enhance boundary-layer heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover, localized heavy showers, or an unanticipated northerly wind shift could cap readings at 31°C or below, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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