Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月6日勒克瑙的最高温度？
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
51%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C或更高
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
$395 交易量
<1%
25°C
$135 交易量
<1%
26°C
$311 交易量
<1%
27°C
$220 交易量
1%
28°C
$393 交易量
2%
29°C
$499 交易量
5%
30°C
$172 交易量
25%
31°C
$396 交易量
51%
32°C
$313 交易量
21%
33°C
$89 交易量
3%
34°C或更高
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,119结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,119结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6 most likely in the 30–32°C range, driven by widespread monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 70–95% probability of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong implied probability for 31°C as the peak, consistent with observed maxima near 32°C in early September and typical late-monsoon steering patterns. Model consensus shows limited upward potential beyond 32°C absent clearer skies, while downside risk to 29°C or below remains low given persistent warmth and dew points above 25°C. Updated IMD briefings and refined model runs expected later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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