Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日马尼拉最低温度？
9月7日马尼拉最低温度？
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 69%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
36%
31°C或更高
69%
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 69%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
28%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
36%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Luzon are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–29°C range and 80% rain chance for September 7. Strong El Niño conditions in the Pacific typically favor drier, warmer patterns later in the season, yet current monsoon dominance and embedded thunderstorms are moderating diurnal ranges. Official guidance and model runs point to lows near 25–26°C under humid, overcast skies, though variability in rainfall timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty around whether minima stay above 26°C or dip toward 24°C or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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