Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, driven by persistent weak winds, high humidity levels near 90%, and extensive cloud cover across the southern China coast that restricts overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where sea surface temperatures around 26°C and light easterly flows prevent sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential amid scattered showers, positioning 27°C as the leading market-implied outcome while leaving modest room for 26°C if clearer intervals develop. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the final minimum reading ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日香港最低气温？
9月6日香港最低气温？
27°C 52%
26°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
52%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 52%
26°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
23°C
$376 交易量
<1%
24°C
$177 交易量
2%
25°C
$556 交易量
10%
26°C
$1,143 交易量
32%
27°C
$1,842 交易量
52%
28°C
$2,143 交易量
6%
29°C
$736 交易量
3%
30°C
$165 交易量
<1%
31°C
$165 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, driven by persistent weak winds, high humidity levels near 90%, and extensive cloud cover across the southern China coast that restricts overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where sea surface temperatures around 26°C and light easterly flows prevent sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential amid scattered showers, positioning 27°C as the leading market-implied outcome while leaving modest room for 26°C if clearer intervals develop. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the final minimum reading ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,615结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, driven by persistent weak winds, high humidity levels near 90%, and extensive cloud cover across the southern China coast that restricts overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where sea surface temperatures around 26°C and light easterly flows prevent sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential amid scattered showers, positioning 27°C as the leading market-implied outcome while leaving modest room for 26°C if clearer intervals develop. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the final minimum reading ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,615结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, driven by persistent weak winds, high humidity levels near 90%, and extensive cloud cover across the southern China coast that restricts overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where sea surface temperatures around 26°C and light easterly flows prevent sharper drops. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential amid scattered showers, positioning 27°C as the leading market-implied outcome while leaving modest room for 26°C if clearer intervals develop. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the final minimum reading ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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