Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models project a September 7 minimum near 15°C in Toronto under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and recent ensemble guidance showing limited spread. Trader-implied odds reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight low, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the outcome by 1–2°C, with 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher brackets capturing tail risks from model divergence ahead of final updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日多伦多最低气温?
10°C或以下 69%
20°C或更高 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
10°C或以下
69%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
42%
19°C
42%
20°C或更高
59%
10°C或以下 69%
20°C或更高 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
10°C或以下
69%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
42%
19°C
42%
20°C或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models project a September 7 minimum near 15°C in Toronto under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and recent ensemble guidance showing limited spread. Trader-implied odds reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight low, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the outcome by 1–2°C, with 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher brackets capturing tail risks from model divergence ahead of final updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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