Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple sources indicate clear to mostly sunny conditions over Zhengzhou on September 6, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C under light easterly winds and stable high pressure. This setup supports the market’s leading 67.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher, exceeding the city’s late-summer climatological average near 28°C. Model consensus remains tight ahead of a stronger cool front expected after September 7, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation reducing the chance of suppressed maxima. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observations heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日郑州气温最高?
32℃或更高 68%
31°C 42%
29°C 17%
30°C 5%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
27%
32℃或更高
68%
32℃或更高 68%
31°C 42%
29°C 17%
30°C 5%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
27%
32℃或更高
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple sources indicate clear to mostly sunny conditions over Zhengzhou on September 6, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C under light easterly winds and stable high pressure. This setup supports the market’s leading 67.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher, exceeding the city’s late-summer climatological average near 28°C. Model consensus remains tight ahead of a stronger cool front expected after September 7, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation reducing the chance of suppressed maxima. Traders appear to weigh these near-term observations heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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