Current meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring Zhengzhou indicate radiative cooling under clear skies will drive the daily minimum to 17°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Model consensus supports this threshold amid typical early-September patterns of moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, with historical September lows averaging near 20°C but recent stable high-pressure conditions favoring the lower reading. Traders' capital-backed consensus reflects confidence in these inputs, though resolution could shift if official measurements record a deviation due to urban heat effects, revised station data, or unforecasted cloud cover altering overnight temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日郑州最低气温？
9月5日郑州最低气温？
17°C 99.4%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,542 交易量
$2,542 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
17°C 99.4%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,542 交易量
$2,542 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
$197 交易量
1%
16°C
$32 交易量
<1%
17°C
$395 交易量
99%
18°C
$243 交易量
<1%
19°C
$275 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,175 交易量
<1%
21°C
$45 交易量
<1%
22°C
$45 交易量
<1%
23°C
$45 交易量
<1%
24°C
$45 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring Zhengzhou indicate radiative cooling under clear skies will drive the daily minimum to 17°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Model consensus supports this threshold amid typical early-September patterns of moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, with historical September lows averaging near 20°C but recent stable high-pressure conditions favoring the lower reading. Traders' capital-backed consensus reflects confidence in these inputs, though resolution could shift if official measurements record a deviation due to urban heat effects, revised station data, or unforecasted cloud cover altering overnight temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,542结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring Zhengzhou indicate radiative cooling under clear skies will drive the daily minimum to 17°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Model consensus supports this threshold amid typical early-September patterns of moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, with historical September lows averaging near 20°C but recent stable high-pressure conditions favoring the lower reading. Traders' capital-backed consensus reflects confidence in these inputs, though resolution could shift if official measurements record a deviation due to urban heat effects, revised station data, or unforecasted cloud cover altering overnight temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,542结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring Zhengzhou indicate radiative cooling under clear skies will drive the daily minimum to 17°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Model consensus supports this threshold amid typical early-September patterns of moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, with historical September lows averaging near 20°C but recent stable high-pressure conditions favoring the lower reading. Traders' capital-backed consensus reflects confidence in these inputs, though resolution could shift if official measurements record a deviation due to urban heat effects, revised station data, or unforecasted cloud cover altering overnight temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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