Recent high-pressure dominance over Central Europe has favored warm southerly advection and reduced cloud cover, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures near 33–34°C on August 4. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread around these values, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture determining whether readings reach 35°C or stay capped near 32°C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 24–26°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified late-summer heat signal noted in seasonal outlooks. Updated short-range runs and local IMGW analyses expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any convective cooling potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月4日最高气温？
华沙8月4日最高气温？
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
35°C 17%
32°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C
17%
36°C或更高
5%
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
35°C 17%
32°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C
$27 交易量
<1%
30°C
$20 交易量
2%
31°C
$15 交易量
5%
32°C
$13 交易量
17%
33°C
$40 交易量
31%
34°C
$38 交易量
31%
35°C
$31 交易量
17%
36°C或更高
$6 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over Central Europe has favored warm southerly advection and reduced cloud cover, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures near 33–34°C on August 4. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread around these values, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture determining whether readings reach 35°C or stay capped near 32°C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 24–26°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified late-summer heat signal noted in seasonal outlooks. Updated short-range runs and local IMGW analyses expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any convective cooling potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$201结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over Central Europe has favored warm southerly advection and reduced cloud cover, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures near 33–34°C on August 4. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread around these values, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture determining whether readings reach 35°C or stay capped near 32°C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 24–26°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified late-summer heat signal noted in seasonal outlooks. Updated short-range runs and local IMGW analyses expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any convective cooling potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$201结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent high-pressure dominance over Central Europe has favored warm southerly advection and reduced cloud cover, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures near 33–34°C on August 4. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread around these values, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture determining whether readings reach 35°C or stay capped near 32°C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 24–26°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified late-summer heat signal noted in seasonal outlooks. Updated short-range runs and local IMGW analyses expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any convective cooling potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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