Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日台北气温最高？
8月1日台北气温最高？
36°C 93%
37°C 6%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
$58,914 交易量
$58,914 交易量
2026-08-01
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
93%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 93%
37°C 6%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
$58,914 交易量
$58,914 交易量
2026-08-01
29°C or below
$3,813 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,660 交易量
<1%
31°C
$549 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,364 交易量
<1%
33°C
$4,873 交易量
<1%
34°C
$9,054 交易量
<1%
35°C
$10,256 交易量
<1%
36°C
$9,137 交易量
93%
37°C
$8,150 交易量
6%
38°C
$4,621 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$5,439 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$58,914结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,914结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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