Current forecast models from agencies tracking São Paulo’s subtropical winter conditions indicate a daytime high near 27°C on August 1, driven by clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical dry-season subsidence that limits cloud cover and moisture. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, yet recent model runs show modest warming from seasonal norms without significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings into the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this narrow range, while the combined 41.5% odds on 26°C or 28°C capture lingering uncertainty from minor model spread in timing of any late-day sea-breeze effects or slight pressure variations. No extreme events or record-challenging patterns have emerged in the past 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月1日圣保罗的最高温度？
27°C 56%
26°C 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 3%
最新
$17,154 交易量
最新
$17,154 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
22%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
26°C 22%
28°C 21%
29°C 3%
最新
$17,154 交易量
最新
$17,154 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C or below
$368 交易量
<1%
22°C
$398 交易量
<1%
23°C
$430 交易量
<1%
24°C
$93 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,714 交易量
3%
26°C
$1,781 交易量
22%
27°C
$8,568 交易量
56%
28°C
$2,566 交易量
21%
29°C
$558 交易量
3%
30°C
$314 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$366 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking São Paulo’s subtropical winter conditions indicate a daytime high near 27°C on August 1, driven by clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical dry-season subsidence that limits cloud cover and moisture. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, yet recent model runs show modest warming from seasonal norms without significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings into the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this narrow range, while the combined 41.5% odds on 26°C or 28°C capture lingering uncertainty from minor model spread in timing of any late-day sea-breeze effects or slight pressure variations. No extreme events or record-challenging patterns have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$17,154结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking São Paulo’s subtropical winter conditions indicate a daytime high near 27°C on August 1, driven by clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical dry-season subsidence that limits cloud cover and moisture. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, yet recent model runs show modest warming from seasonal norms without significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings into the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this narrow range, while the combined 41.5% odds on 26°C or 28°C capture lingering uncertainty from minor model spread in timing of any late-day sea-breeze effects or slight pressure variations. No extreme events or record-challenging patterns have emerged in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,154结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies tracking São Paulo’s subtropical winter conditions indicate a daytime high near 27°C on August 1, driven by clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical dry-season subsidence that limits cloud cover and moisture. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, yet recent model runs show modest warming from seasonal norms without significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings into the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this narrow range, while the combined 41.5% odds on 26°C or 28°C capture lingering uncertainty from minor model spread in timing of any late-day sea-breeze effects or slight pressure variations. No extreme events or record-challenging patterns have emerged in the past 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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