Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a high-pressure system dominating central Spain, promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation that supports peak temperatures near 38°C in Madrid on August 1. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 38°C under dry conditions with light winds, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat island effects amplify readings at official stations. The market's heavy weighting toward 38–39°C reflects this alignment, while the modest probability on 40°C accounts for potential model spread or localized warming if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. No major revisions have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on these thresholds for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日马德里气温最高？
8月1日马德里气温最高？
38°C 62%
39°C 34%
40°C 3.7%
37°C 3%
$32,796 交易量
$32,796 交易量
2026-08-01
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
62%
39°C
34%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 62%
39°C 34%
40°C 3.7%
37°C 3%
$32,796 交易量
$32,796 交易量
2026-08-01
34°C or below
$494 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,207 交易量
<1%
36°C
$543 交易量
1%
37°C
$10,849 交易量
3%
38°C
$6,708 交易量
62%
39°C
$5,719 交易量
34%
40°C
$4,215 交易量
4%
41°C
$1,426 交易量
<1%
42°C
$827 交易量
<1%
43°C
$378 交易量
<1%
44°C or higher
$430 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a high-pressure system dominating central Spain, promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation that supports peak temperatures near 38°C in Madrid on August 1. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 38°C under dry conditions with light winds, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat island effects amplify readings at official stations. The market's heavy weighting toward 38–39°C reflects this alignment, while the modest probability on 40°C accounts for potential model spread or localized warming if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. No major revisions have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on these thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$32,796结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a high-pressure system dominating central Spain, promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation that supports peak temperatures near 38°C in Madrid on August 1. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 38°C under dry conditions with light winds, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat island effects amplify readings at official stations. The market's heavy weighting toward 38–39°C reflects this alignment, while the modest probability on 40°C accounts for potential model spread or localized warming if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. No major revisions have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on these thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,796结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a high-pressure system dominating central Spain, promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation that supports peak temperatures near 38°C in Madrid on August 1. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 38°C under dry conditions with light winds, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat island effects amplify readings at official stations. The market's heavy weighting toward 38–39°C reflects this alignment, while the modest probability on 40°C accounts for potential model spread or localized warming if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. No major revisions have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on these thresholds for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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