Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district, where post-2025 redistricting produced a strongly Republican partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Babin secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her March 2026 primary. The district's electoral math, including its suburban and rural voter base in the Houston area and extended reach toward Lufkin, underpins the 92.5% Republican market pricing as trader consensus on structural advantages. A national Democratic wave or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,138 交易量
$28,138 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,138 交易量
$28,138 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$8,235 交易量
93%
Democratic Party
$19,903 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district, where post-2025 redistricting produced a strongly Republican partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Babin secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her March 2026 primary. The district's electoral math, including its suburban and rural voter base in the Houston area and extended reach toward Lufkin, underpins the 92.5% Republican market pricing as trader consensus on structural advantages. A national Democratic wave or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district, where post-2025 redistricting produced a strongly Republican partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Babin secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her March 2026 primary. The district's electoral math, including its suburban and rural voter base in the Houston area and extended reach toward Lufkin, underpins the 92.5% Republican market pricing as trader consensus on structural advantages. A national Democratic wave or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,138結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin holds a commanding position in Texas's 36th congressional district, where post-2025 redistricting produced a strongly Republican partisan voting index and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Babin secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her March 2026 primary. The district's electoral math, including its suburban and rural voter base in the Houston area and extended reach toward Lufkin, underpins the 92.5% Republican market pricing as trader consensus on structural advantages. A national Democratic wave or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates and current ratings indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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