Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Jared Golden opted not to run, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following June 2026 primaries resolved by ranked-choice voting. Recent polling, including a July internal survey showing Dunlap at 49% to LePage’s 48%, underscores the tight contest in a district that has favored Republicans in presidential races. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a modest edge, driven by LePage’s statewide name recognition and the district’s electoral history, while Democratic prospects hinge on turnout among key voting blocs and any shifts in the national environment ahead of the November general election. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, fundraising reports, or campaign events could widen or narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
59%
民主黨
42%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
$5,782 交易量
59%
民主黨
$2,263 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Jared Golden opted not to run, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following June 2026 primaries resolved by ranked-choice voting. Recent polling, including a July internal survey showing Dunlap at 49% to LePage’s 48%, underscores the tight contest in a district that has favored Republicans in presidential races. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a modest edge, driven by LePage’s statewide name recognition and the district’s electoral history, while Democratic prospects hinge on turnout among key voting blocs and any shifts in the national environment ahead of the November general election. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, fundraising reports, or campaign events could widen or narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$8,044結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Jared Golden opted not to run, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following June 2026 primaries resolved by ranked-choice voting. Recent polling, including a July internal survey showing Dunlap at 49% to LePage’s 48%, underscores the tight contest in a district that has favored Republicans in presidential races. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a modest edge, driven by LePage’s statewide name recognition and the district’s electoral history, while Democratic prospects hinge on turnout among key voting blocs and any shifts in the national environment ahead of the November general election. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, fundraising reports, or campaign events could widen or narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,044結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETMaine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Jared Golden opted not to run, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following June 2026 primaries resolved by ranked-choice voting. Recent polling, including a July internal survey showing Dunlap at 49% to LePage’s 48%, underscores the tight contest in a district that has favored Republicans in presidential races. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a modest edge, driven by LePage’s statewide name recognition and the district’s electoral history, while Democratic prospects hinge on turnout among key voting blocs and any shifts in the national environment ahead of the November general election. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling, fundraising reports, or campaign events could widen or narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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