High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於450萬至500萬 45%
550萬-600萬 45%
650萬+ 45%
500萬-550萬 44%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於 4M
44%
400萬至450萬
44%
450萬至500萬
45%
500萬-550萬
44%
550萬-600萬
45%
600萬-650萬
44%
650萬+
45%
450萬至500萬 45%
550萬-600萬 45%
650萬+ 45%
500萬-550萬 44%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於 4M
$0 交易量
44%
400萬至450萬
$0 交易量
44%
450萬至500萬
$0 交易量
45%
500萬-550萬
$0 交易量
44%
550萬-600萬
$0 交易量
45%
600萬-650萬
$0 交易量
44%
650萬+
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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