Republican Lloyd Smucker, the incumbent since 2017, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, limiting Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s background in healthcare. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid R, consistent with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 90% implied probability. No recent polling shifts, primary upsets, or major campaign developments have altered this positioning, as Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without notable opposition challenges. Factors such as fundraising edges, district demographics, and limited national attention on this race continue to anchor the current market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,782 交易量
$14,782 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
$14,782 交易量
$14,782 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$9,832 交易量
90%
Democratic Party
$4,950 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lloyd Smucker, the incumbent since 2017, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, limiting Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s background in healthcare. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid R, consistent with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 90% implied probability. No recent polling shifts, primary upsets, or major campaign developments have altered this positioning, as Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without notable opposition challenges. Factors such as fundraising edges, district demographics, and limited national attention on this race continue to anchor the current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$14,782結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lloyd Smucker, the incumbent since 2017, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, limiting Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s background in healthcare. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid R, consistent with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 90% implied probability. No recent polling shifts, primary upsets, or major campaign developments have altered this positioning, as Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without notable opposition challenges. Factors such as fundraising edges, district demographics, and limited national attention on this race continue to anchor the current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,782結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Lloyd Smucker, the incumbent since 2017, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, limiting Democratic prospects despite nominee Nancy Mannion’s background in healthcare. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid R, consistent with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 90% implied probability. No recent polling shifts, primary upsets, or major campaign developments have altered this positioning, as Smucker advanced through the May 2026 primary without notable opposition challenges. Factors such as fundraising edges, district demographics, and limited national attention on this race continue to anchor the current market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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