United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma race due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate lists, and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. The September 18–20 voting window, formally set by presidential decree in June, has seen no major disruptions or shifts in the controlled political environment. Official polling consistently shows the party well ahead of CPRF, LDPR, and New People, while independent surveys indicate lower but still leading support amid wartime conditions. New People’s secondary market standing reflects modest expectations for gains among newer or less aligned voters, though structural barriers limit any realistic challenge to United Russia’s seat plurality.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯黨(ER) 72%
新人民黨(NL) 20.2%
俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR) 5.7%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF) 1.4%
$20,705,091 交易量
$20,705,091 交易量

統一俄羅斯黨(ER)
72%

新人民黨(NL)
20%

俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR)
6%

俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF)
1%

祖國黨
<1%

正義俄羅斯—為真理(SRZP)
<1%

雅布洛科
<1%

公民平台(GP)
<1%
統一俄羅斯黨(ER) 72%
新人民黨(NL) 20.2%
俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR) 5.7%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF) 1.4%
$20,705,091 交易量
$20,705,091 交易量

統一俄羅斯黨(ER)
72%

新人民黨(NL)
20%

俄羅斯自由民主黨(LDPR)
6%

俄羅斯聯邦共產黨(KPRF)
1%

祖國黨
<1%

正義俄羅斯—為真理(SRZP)
<1%

雅布洛科
<1%

公民平台(GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma race due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate lists, and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. The September 18–20 voting window, formally set by presidential decree in June, has seen no major disruptions or shifts in the controlled political environment. Official polling consistently shows the party well ahead of CPRF, LDPR, and New People, while independent surveys indicate lower but still leading support amid wartime conditions. New People’s secondary market standing reflects modest expectations for gains among newer or less aligned voters, though structural barriers limit any realistic challenge to United Russia’s seat plurality.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions