PL maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the most seats in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies on October 4, 2026, reflecting its position as the primary vehicle for bolsonarismo and its current plurality of roughly 98-99 seats. The Progressive Union federation (UPB), uniting União Brasil and Progressistas, trails as the main center-right alternative with strong regional bases and roughly 100 combined seats, while left-leaning FE Brasil and smaller centrist parties register negligible probabilities. Recent polling on the concurrent presidential contest between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro has kept the right-wing bloc competitive, sustaining expectations that PL’s organizational strength and voter mobilization will translate into the largest share of the 513 proportional-representation seats. The August candidate-registration deadline and ongoing party-switching window have not produced major realignments capable of altering this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PL 62%
UPB 37.5%
FE Brasil <1%
MDB <1%
$98,974 交易量
$98,974 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
62%
UPB
37%
FE Brasil
1%
MDB
<1%
PSD
<1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PSB
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 62%
UPB 37.5%
FE Brasil <1%
MDB <1%
$98,974 交易量
$98,974 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
$42,942 交易量
62%
UPB
$13,154 交易量
37%
FE Brasil
$4,667 交易量
1%
MDB
$4,333 交易量
<1%
PSD
$2,574 交易量
<1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
$2,850 交易量
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$2,578 交易量
<1%
PDT
$2,495 交易量
<1%
Avante
$2,531 交易量
<1%
MISSÃO
$7,591 交易量
<1%
PSB
$2,946 交易量
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$2,581 交易量
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$2,948 交易量
<1%
PODE
$2,399 交易量
<1%
NOVO
$2,383 交易量
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the most seats in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies on October 4, 2026, reflecting its position as the primary vehicle for bolsonarismo and its current plurality of roughly 98-99 seats. The Progressive Union federation (UPB), uniting União Brasil and Progressistas, trails as the main center-right alternative with strong regional bases and roughly 100 combined seats, while left-leaning FE Brasil and smaller centrist parties register negligible probabilities. Recent polling on the concurrent presidential contest between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro has kept the right-wing bloc competitive, sustaining expectations that PL’s organizational strength and voter mobilization will translate into the largest share of the 513 proportional-representation seats. The August candidate-registration deadline and ongoing party-switching window have not produced major realignments capable of altering this positioning.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
交易量
$98,974結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the most seats in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies on October 4, 2026, reflecting its position as the primary vehicle for bolsonarismo and its current plurality of roughly 98-99 seats. The Progressive Union federation (UPB), uniting União Brasil and Progressistas, trails as the main center-right alternative with strong regional bases and roughly 100 combined seats, while left-leaning FE Brasil and smaller centrist parties register negligible probabilities. Recent polling on the concurrent presidential contest between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro has kept the right-wing bloc competitive, sustaining expectations that PL’s organizational strength and voter mobilization will translate into the largest share of the 513 proportional-representation seats. The August candidate-registration deadline and ongoing party-switching window have not produced major realignments capable of altering this positioning.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
交易量
$98,974結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the most seats in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies on October 4, 2026, reflecting its position as the primary vehicle for bolsonarismo and its current plurality of roughly 98-99 seats. The Progressive Union federation (UPB), uniting União Brasil and Progressistas, trails as the main center-right alternative with strong regional bases and roughly 100 combined seats, while left-leaning FE Brasil and smaller centrist parties register negligible probabilities. Recent polling on the concurrent presidential contest between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro has kept the right-wing bloc competitive, sustaining expectations that PL’s organizational strength and voter mobilization will translate into the largest share of the 513 proportional-representation seats. The August candidate-registration deadline and ongoing party-switching window have not produced major realignments capable of altering this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions