The September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election occurs amid elevated polarization, with AfD polling near 41 percent—well above its 2021 result—and positioned for a potential outright majority or dominant role in coalition talks. This contest follows a leadership transition after long-serving Minister-President Reiner Haseloff’s departure and forms part of a cluster of eastern German state votes, amplifying media and voter focus. Previous turnout stood at 60.3 percent in 2021; comparable recent Landtag elections, such as Baden-Württemberg’s 69.6 percent (up 5.8 points), reflect higher participation in polarized environments. Traders price an 79.5 percent probability of increased turnout, reflecting expectations that competitive dynamics, first-time voters, and national attention on AfD prospects will lift engagement above the prior baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於上升
90% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-06
上升
90% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-06
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election occurs amid elevated polarization, with AfD polling near 41 percent—well above its 2021 result—and positioned for a potential outright majority or dominant role in coalition talks. This contest follows a leadership transition after long-serving Minister-President Reiner Haseloff’s departure and forms part of a cluster of eastern German state votes, amplifying media and voter focus. Previous turnout stood at 60.3 percent in 2021; comparable recent Landtag elections, such as Baden-Württemberg’s 69.6 percent (up 5.8 points), reflect higher participation in polarized environments. Traders price an 79.5 percent probability of increased turnout, reflecting expectations that competitive dynamics, first-time voters, and national attention on AfD prospects will lift engagement above the prior baseline.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
交易量
$634結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election occurs amid elevated polarization, with AfD polling near 41 percent—well above its 2021 result—and positioned for a potential outright majority or dominant role in coalition talks. This contest follows a leadership transition after long-serving Minister-President Reiner Haseloff’s departure and forms part of a cluster of eastern German state votes, amplifying media and voter focus. Previous turnout stood at 60.3 percent in 2021; comparable recent Landtag elections, such as Baden-Württemberg’s 69.6 percent (up 5.8 points), reflect higher participation in polarized environments. Traders price an 79.5 percent probability of increased turnout, reflecting expectations that competitive dynamics, first-time voters, and national attention on AfD prospects will lift engagement above the prior baseline.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$634結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election occurs amid elevated polarization, with AfD polling near 41 percent—well above its 2021 result—and positioned for a potential outright majority or dominant role in coalition talks. This contest follows a leadership transition after long-serving Minister-President Reiner Haseloff’s departure and forms part of a cluster of eastern German state votes, amplifying media and voter focus. Previous turnout stood at 60.3 percent in 2021; comparable recent Landtag elections, such as Baden-Württemberg’s 69.6 percent (up 5.8 points), reflect higher participation in polarized environments. Traders price an 79.5 percent probability of increased turnout, reflecting expectations that competitive dynamics, first-time voters, and national attention on AfD prospects will lift engagement above the prior baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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