Recent polls place Die Linke between 16% and 22% ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social spending amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD. Proportional allocation with the five-percent threshold and potential overhang seats produces seat totals clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, keeping the 25-29 and 30-34 ranges nearly even in trader pricing. Recent state-wide trends show modest further gains for Die Linke alongside AfD strength and weakness for the incumbent coalition, sustaining uncertainty over final vote shares and coalition math. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could widen the gap between those leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於25-29 29%
30-34 28%
20-24 24%
35-39 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
5%
20-24
24%
25-29
29%
30-34
28%
35-39
17%
40+
7%
25-29 29%
30-34 28%
20-24 24%
35-39 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
<20
$119 交易量
5%
20-24
$81 交易量
24%
25-29
$0 交易量
29%
30-34
$0 交易量
28%
35-39
$38 交易量
17%
40+
$45 交易量
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place Die Linke between 16% and 22% ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social spending amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD. Proportional allocation with the five-percent threshold and potential overhang seats produces seat totals clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, keeping the 25-29 and 30-34 ranges nearly even in trader pricing. Recent state-wide trends show modest further gains for Die Linke alongside AfD strength and weakness for the incumbent coalition, sustaining uncertainty over final vote shares and coalition math. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could widen the gap between those leading outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$283結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place Die Linke between 16% and 22% ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social spending amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD. Proportional allocation with the five-percent threshold and potential overhang seats produces seat totals clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, keeping the 25-29 and 30-34 ranges nearly even in trader pricing. Recent state-wide trends show modest further gains for Die Linke alongside AfD strength and weakness for the incumbent coalition, sustaining uncertainty over final vote shares and coalition math. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could widen the gap between those leading outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$283結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Die Linke between 16% and 22% ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains driven by emphasis on housing affordability and social spending amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD. Proportional allocation with the five-percent threshold and potential overhang seats produces seat totals clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s, keeping the 25-29 and 30-34 ranges nearly even in trader pricing. Recent state-wide trends show modest further gains for Die Linke alongside AfD strength and weakness for the incumbent coalition, sustaining uncertainty over final vote shares and coalition math. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or minor-party performance remain the main variables that could widen the gap between those leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions