Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, leads trader pricing ahead of the September 13 direct election because of established name recognition, a record of advancing projects such as infrastructure and economic initiatives, and the structural edge incumbents typically hold in German local contests. Multiple challengers, including SPD nominee Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, and smaller-party contenders, have fragmented the opposition without consolidating broad support. Recent party nominations and the final campaign phase have clarified the field but produced no major shifts that would narrow Pötter’s advantage. A potential September 27 runoff remains possible if no candidate secures an absolute majority on the first ballot, though current consensus reflects the low probability of any single opponent prevailing outright.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡塔莉娜·珀特 77%
羅伯特·阿爾費林克 26%
Volker Bajus 7.3%
奧利弗·哈斯坎普 2.1%
$72,185 交易量
$72,185 交易量

卡塔莉娜·珀特
71%

羅伯特·阿爾費林克
18%

Volker Bajus
22%

奧利弗·哈斯坎普
2%

Thorsten Wassermann
1%

托馬斯·格羅斯
1%
卡塔莉娜·珀特 77%
羅伯特·阿爾費林克 26%
Volker Bajus 7.3%
奧利弗·哈斯坎普 2.1%
$72,185 交易量
$72,185 交易量

卡塔莉娜·珀特
71%

羅伯特·阿爾費林克
18%

Volker Bajus
22%

奧利弗·哈斯坎普
2%

Thorsten Wassermann
1%

托馬斯·格羅斯
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, leads trader pricing ahead of the September 13 direct election because of established name recognition, a record of advancing projects such as infrastructure and economic initiatives, and the structural edge incumbents typically hold in German local contests. Multiple challengers, including SPD nominee Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, and smaller-party contenders, have fragmented the opposition without consolidating broad support. Recent party nominations and the final campaign phase have clarified the field but produced no major shifts that would narrow Pötter’s advantage. A potential September 27 runoff remains possible if no candidate secures an absolute majority on the first ballot, though current consensus reflects the low probability of any single opponent prevailing outright.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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