Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a lead near 35-36 percent, with the SPD holding steady at 28-29 percent as the primary contender for second place ahead of Die Linke near 11-12 percent and the CDU around 9-10 percent. This positioning reflects consistent voter intentions through mid-2026, bolstered by the SPD's established regional base and governing record in the state. The market's close pricing among several parties stems from the potential for smaller shifts in turnout or coalition signals to alter second-place rankings, though no major late developments have yet disrupted the current order. Traders weigh these trends against historical patterns where incumbent parties often consolidate support in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於綠黨 34%
FW 34%
基民盟 33%
FDP 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
綠黨
34%
FW
34%
基民盟
33%
FDP
33%
BSW
33%
AfD
32%
Linke
32%
SPD
42%
綠黨 34%
FW 34%
基民盟 33%
FDP 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
綠黨
$0 交易量
34%
FW
$0 交易量
34%
基民盟
$0 交易量
33%
FDP
$0 交易量
33%
BSW
$0 交易量
33%
AfD
$0 交易量
32%
Linke
$0 交易量
32%
SPD
$125 交易量
42%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a lead near 35-36 percent, with the SPD holding steady at 28-29 percent as the primary contender for second place ahead of Die Linke near 11-12 percent and the CDU around 9-10 percent. This positioning reflects consistent voter intentions through mid-2026, bolstered by the SPD's established regional base and governing record in the state. The market's close pricing among several parties stems from the potential for smaller shifts in turnout or coalition signals to alter second-place rankings, though no major late developments have yet disrupted the current order. Traders weigh these trends against historical patterns where incumbent parties often consolidate support in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$125結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a lead near 35-36 percent, with the SPD holding steady at 28-29 percent as the primary contender for second place ahead of Die Linke near 11-12 percent and the CDU around 9-10 percent. This positioning reflects consistent voter intentions through mid-2026, bolstered by the SPD's established regional base and governing record in the state. The market's close pricing among several parties stems from the potential for smaller shifts in turnout or coalition signals to alter second-place rankings, though no major late developments have yet disrupted the current order. Traders weigh these trends against historical patterns where incumbent parties often consolidate support in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$125結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a lead near 35-36 percent, with the SPD holding steady at 28-29 percent as the primary contender for second place ahead of Die Linke near 11-12 percent and the CDU around 9-10 percent. This positioning reflects consistent voter intentions through mid-2026, bolstered by the SPD's established regional base and governing record in the state. The market's close pricing among several parties stems from the potential for smaller shifts in turnout or coalition signals to alter second-place rankings, though no major late developments have yet disrupted the current order. Traders weigh these trends against historical patterns where incumbent parties often consolidate support in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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