**Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** McBath won her May 19 Democratic primary unopposed at 100% and holds a strongly Democratic-leaning Atlanta suburb and exurb seat she carried by roughly 75% in 2024. Martin secured the Republican nomination with about 70% in his primary. Georgia’s majority-vote rule for U.S. House seats triggers a runoff only if no candidate reaches 50% plus one on Election Day. Given the district’s partisan lean, McBath’s incumbency, and the absence of a high-profile challenger or late-breaking event, traders assign a 92.5% probability that one candidate—almost certainly McBath—secures an outright majority in the first round. No major developments since the May primaries have altered this assessment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
94% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
94% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** McBath won her May 19 Democratic primary unopposed at 100% and holds a strongly Democratic-leaning Atlanta suburb and exurb seat she carried by roughly 75% in 2024. Martin secured the Republican nomination with about 70% in his primary.
Georgia’s majority-vote rule for U.S. House seats triggers a runoff only if no candidate reaches 50% plus one on Election Day. Given the district’s partisan lean, McBath’s incumbency, and the absence of a high-profile challenger or late-breaking event, traders assign a 92.5% probability that one candidate—almost certainly McBath—secures an outright majority in the first round. No major developments since the May primaries have altered this assessment.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
交易量
$155結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** McBath won her May 19 Democratic primary unopposed at 100% and holds a strongly Democratic-leaning Atlanta suburb and exurb seat she carried by roughly 75% in 2024. Martin secured the Republican nomination with about 70% in his primary.
Georgia’s majority-vote rule for U.S. House seats triggers a runoff only if no candidate reaches 50% plus one on Election Day. Given the district’s partisan lean, McBath’s incumbency, and the absence of a high-profile challenger or late-breaking event, traders assign a 92.5% probability that one candidate—almost certainly McBath—secures an outright majority in the first round. No major developments since the May primaries have altered this assessment.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
交易量
$155結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** McBath won her May 19 Democratic primary unopposed at 100% and holds a strongly Democratic-leaning Atlanta suburb and exurb seat she carried by roughly 75% in 2024. Martin secured the Republican nomination with about 70% in his primary. Georgia’s majority-vote rule for U.S. House seats triggers a runoff only if no candidate reaches 50% plus one on Election Day. Given the district’s partisan lean, McBath’s incumbency, and the absence of a high-profile challenger or late-breaking event, traders assign a 92.5% probability that one candidate—almost certainly McBath—secures an outright majority in the first round. No major developments since the May primaries have altered this assessment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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