The TX-12 race centers on incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who won an uncontested March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The redrawn district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential voting underpin the 90.5% market price for the Republican outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning without notable shifts. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the district's baseline tilt limits realistic paths to an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$29,885 交易量
$29,885 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$29,885 交易量
$29,885 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$15,314 交易量
91%
Democratic Party
$14,571 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-12 race centers on incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who won an uncontested March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The redrawn district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential voting underpin the 90.5% market price for the Republican outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning without notable shifts. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the district's baseline tilt limits realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$29,885結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-12 race centers on incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who won an uncontested March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The redrawn district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential voting underpin the 90.5% market price for the Republican outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning without notable shifts. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the district's baseline tilt limits realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,885結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-12 race centers on incumbent Republican Craig Goldman, who won an uncontested March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The redrawn district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential voting underpin the 90.5% market price for the Republican outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning without notable shifts. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the district's baseline tilt limits realistic paths to an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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