Skip to main content
icon for 馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家

icon for 馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家

愛德華多·布拉伊德 59%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當 35%

Felipe Camarão <1%

安德烈·路易士 <1%

Polymarket

$58,920 交易量

愛德華多·布拉伊德 59%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當 35%

Felipe Camarão <1%

安德烈·路易士 <1%

Polymarket

$58,920 交易量

icon for 愛德華多·布拉伊德

愛德華多·布拉伊德

$27,737 交易量

59%

icon for 奧爾良斯·布蘭當

奧爾良斯·布蘭當

$12,782 交易量

35%

icon for Felipe Camarão

Felipe Camarão

$4,642 交易量

<1%

icon for 安德烈·路易士

安德烈·路易士

$5,426 交易量

<1%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$4,092 交易量

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$4,240 交易量

<1%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the lead in trader pricing for the Maranhão governor race due to his record as São Luís mayor, where he won reelection with over 70% of the vote before resigning in March 2026 to run statewide. Multiple polls through mid-August show him ahead or competitive with Orleans Brandão (MDB), nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, amid the ongoing split between the Brandão group and the Flávio Dino-aligned faction. Braide's campaign emphasizes technical governance, tax reduction, and expanded education and health infrastructure, while building broad alliances. The first-round vote is set for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25; recent surveys indicate Braide frequently reaches or exceeds 50% of valid votes in some scenarios, though polling has fluctuated and other candidates remain marginal.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$58,920
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the lead in trader pricing for the Maranhão governor race due to his record as São Luís mayor, where he won reelection with over 70% of the vote before resigning in March 2026 to run statewide. Multiple polls through mid-August show him ahead or competitive with Orleans Brandão (MDB), nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, amid the ongoing split between the Brandão group and the Flávio Dino-aligned faction. Braide's campaign emphasizes technical governance, tax reduction, and expanded education and health infrastructure, while building broad alliances. The first-round vote is set for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25; recent surveys indicate Braide frequently reaches or exceeds 50% of valid votes in some scenarios, though polling has fluctuated and other candidates remain marginal.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$58,920
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

相關

icon for 威靈頓·法古恩德斯會贏得2026年馬托格羅索州長選舉嗎？

威靈頓·法古恩德斯會贏得2026年馬托格羅索州長選舉嗎？

68%
是
icon for Raquel Lyra會贏得伯南布哥州州長選舉嗎？

Raquel Lyra會贏得伯南布哥州州長選舉嗎？

63%
是
icon for Lucas Ribeiro會贏得帕拉伊巴州州長選舉嗎？

Lucas Ribeiro會贏得帕拉伊巴州州長選舉嗎？

67%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "愛德華多·布拉伊德" at 59%, followed by "奧爾良斯·布蘭當" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" has generated $58.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is "愛德華多·布拉伊德" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧爾良斯·布蘭當" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.