Lucas Ribeiro's assumption of the Paraíba governorship in April 2026, following incumbent João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the October 4 election. Recent polls reflect his lead as the PP candidate backed by the outgoing administration's coalition, with support levels significantly ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena. This incumbency advantage, combined with party federation dynamics and early alignment among mayors and legislators, drives the market's implied probability favoring Ribeiro. Other listed contenders remain lower due to limited polling visibility and coalition fragmentation, though scheduled debates and campaign events through September could still influence final vote shares.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lucas Ribeiro 75%
西塞羅·盧塞納 19%
埃弗拉因·菲略 5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 1.2%
$48,033 交易量
$48,033 交易量
2026-10-04
Lucas Ribeiro
75%
西塞羅·盧塞納
19%
埃弗拉因·菲略
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
弗拉維奧·盧西奧
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
<1%
羅梅羅·羅德里格斯
<1%
馬塞洛·奎羅加
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 75%
西塞羅·盧塞納 19%
埃弗拉因·菲略 5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 1.2%
$48,033 交易量
$48,033 交易量
2026-10-04
Lucas Ribeiro
$10,010 交易量
75%
西塞羅·盧塞納
$16,156 交易量
19%
埃弗拉因·菲略
$13,171 交易量
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,350 交易量
1%
弗拉維奧·盧西奧
$811 交易量
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$808 交易量
<1%
羅梅羅·羅德里格斯
$1,439 交易量
<1%
馬塞洛·奎羅加
$3,289 交易量
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro's assumption of the Paraíba governorship in April 2026, following incumbent João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the October 4 election. Recent polls reflect his lead as the PP candidate backed by the outgoing administration's coalition, with support levels significantly ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena. This incumbency advantage, combined with party federation dynamics and early alignment among mayors and legislators, drives the market's implied probability favoring Ribeiro. Other listed contenders remain lower due to limited polling visibility and coalition fragmentation, though scheduled debates and campaign events through September could still influence final vote shares.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$48,033結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro's assumption of the Paraíba governorship in April 2026, following incumbent João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the October 4 election. Recent polls reflect his lead as the PP candidate backed by the outgoing administration's coalition, with support levels significantly ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena. This incumbency advantage, combined with party federation dynamics and early alignment among mayors and legislators, drives the market's implied probability favoring Ribeiro. Other listed contenders remain lower due to limited polling visibility and coalition fragmentation, though scheduled debates and campaign events through September could still influence final vote shares.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$48,033結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro's assumption of the Paraíba governorship in April 2026, following incumbent João Azevêdo's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the October 4 election. Recent polls reflect his lead as the PP candidate backed by the outgoing administration's coalition, with support levels significantly ahead of challengers such as Cícero Lucena. This incumbency advantage, combined with party federation dynamics and early alignment among mayors and legislators, drives the market's implied probability favoring Ribeiro. Other listed contenders remain lower due to limited polling visibility and coalition fragmentation, though scheduled debates and campaign events through September could still influence final vote shares.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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