Skip to main content
icon for 佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名
政治·主要

佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名

icon for 佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名
政治·主要

佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名

詹姆斯·費什巴克 98.4%

Paul Renner 19%

拜倫·唐納茲 4.8%

丹尼爾·諾科維奇 4.8%

Polymarket

$1,741 交易量

詹姆斯·費什巴克 98.4%

Paul Renner 19%

拜倫·唐納茲 4.8%

丹尼爾·諾科維奇 4.8%

Polymarket

$1,741 交易量

icon for 詹姆斯·費什巴克

詹姆斯·費什巴克

$20 交易量

98%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$34 交易量

19%

icon for 拜倫·唐納茲

拜倫·唐納茲

$226 交易量

5%

icon for 丹尼爾·諾科維奇

丹尼爾·諾科維奇

$226 交易量

5%

icon for 詹姆斯·沃克·肖

詹姆斯·沃克·肖

$226 交易量

5%

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$226 交易量

3%

icon for 吉姆·霍爾科姆

吉姆·霍爾科姆

$119 交易量

1%

icon for 亞瑟·約瑟夫·麥卡弗里

亞瑟·約瑟夫·麥卡弗里

$169 交易量

1%

icon for 雷切爾·羅德里格斯

雷切爾·羅德里格斯

$155 交易量

1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$169 交易量

1%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$169 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the just-concluded August 18 Republican primary for Florida governor, positioning the race for second and third among a fragmented field that includes Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, investor James Fishback, and former House Speaker Paul Renner. Trader consensus assigns Fishback the highest probability for third place due to consistent polling averages placing him ahead of Renner and lower-tier candidates, bolstered by his mobilization of online supporters and visibility in the final weeks. Collins’s branding as the DeSantis-aligned option and attempts to challenge ballot access have not displaced Fishback from the middle tier. Late vote tabulation, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, and any shifts in the remaining precincts could still reorder the final margins behind Donalds.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,741
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the just-concluded August 18 Republican primary for Florida governor, positioning the race for second and third among a fragmented field that includes Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, investor James Fishback, and former House Speaker Paul Renner. Trader consensus assigns Fishback the highest probability for third place due to consistent polling averages placing him ahead of Renner and lower-tier candidates, bolstered by his mobilization of online supporters and visibility in the final weeks. Collins’s branding as the DeSantis-aligned option and attempts to challenge ballot access have not displaced Fishback from the middle tier. Late vote tabulation, turnout differentials among key voting blocs, and any shifts in the remaining precincts could still reorder the final margins behind Donalds.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,741
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

相關

icon for Jay Collins會在佛羅里達州共和黨州長初選中獲得第二名嗎？

Jay Collins會在佛羅里達州共和黨州長初選中獲得第二名嗎？

100%
是
icon for 拜倫·唐納茲會成為佛羅里達州州長的共和黨提名人嗎？

拜倫·唐納茲會成為佛羅里達州州長的共和黨提名人嗎？

100%
是
icon for David Jolly會成為佛羅里達州州長的民主黨提名人嗎？

David Jolly會成為佛羅里達州州長的民主黨提名人嗎？

100%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "詹姆斯·費什巴克" at 98%, followed by "Paul Renner" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名" is "詹姆斯·費什巴克" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Renner" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選第三名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.