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icon for FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

蘭迪·范恩 97.5%

Dan Bilzerian 1.5%

亞倫·貝克 1.1%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$257,408 交易量

蘭迪·范恩 97.5%

Dan Bilzerian 1.5%

亞倫·貝克 1.1%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$257,408 交易量

icon for 蘭迪·范恩

蘭迪·范恩

$37,268 交易量

98%

icon for Dan Bilzerian

Dan Bilzerian

$100,387 交易量

2%

icon for 亞倫·貝克

亞倫·貝克

$27,139 交易量

1%

icon for Alexandra Van Cleef

Alexandra Van Cleef

$41,191 交易量

<1%

icon for 約書亞·瓦斯奎茲

約書亞·瓦斯奎茲

$13,607 交易量

<1%

icon for 查爾斯·甘巴羅

查爾斯·甘巴羅

$17,669 交易量

<1%

icon for Ernest Audino

Ernest Audino

$20,148 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine holds a commanding position in the Florida 6th Congressional District Republican primary as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election, backed by substantial fundraising exceeding $4 million and the structural advantages of party infrastructure in a district with a strong Republican lean. Recent campaign finance reports show Fine maintaining a large cash advantage over challengers including Dan Bilzerian, Aaron Baker, and lesser-known entrants, limiting their ability to gain visibility ahead of the August 18, 2026, primary. Trader consensus reflects this established edge, though outcomes could still shift in the event of major late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal or health-related withdrawal that alters voter perceptions before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$257,408
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine holds a commanding position in the Florida 6th Congressional District Republican primary as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election, backed by substantial fundraising exceeding $4 million and the structural advantages of party infrastructure in a district with a strong Republican lean. Recent campaign finance reports show Fine maintaining a large cash advantage over challengers including Dan Bilzerian, Aaron Baker, and lesser-known entrants, limiting their ability to gain visibility ahead of the August 18, 2026, primary. Trader consensus reflects this established edge, though outcomes could still shift in the event of major late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal or health-related withdrawal that alters voter perceptions before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$257,408
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘭迪·范恩" at 98%, followed by "Dan Bilzerian" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $257.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is "蘭迪·范恩" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Bilzerian" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.