A crowded field of nine Republicans competing for the open nomination in Florida’s 9th Congressional District has produced a fragmented vote ahead of the August 18 primary. A mid-August Victory Insights poll of likely GOP primary voters found the top four candidates—Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, and Dan Green—statistically tied in the low-to-mid teens, with 41 percent undecided. Limited name recognition across the redrawn district, overlapping emphasis on affordability and reducing federal spending, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major outside spending have kept the contest tight. Late endorsements, such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s support for Green, along with final-week advertising and turnout efforts among different geographic and ideological segments of the electorate, could shift support and produce separation before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於本·巴特勒 31.1%
丹·格林 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.6%
Thomas Chalifoux 16.4%
$131,368 交易量
$131,368 交易量

本·巴特勒
31%

丹·格林
29%

Jorge Martinez
24%

Thomas Chalifoux
16%

Justin Story
<1%

霍華德·史蒂文·蘭斯
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

史蒂夫·蘭斯
<1%
本·巴特勒 31.1%
丹·格林 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.6%
Thomas Chalifoux 16.4%
$131,368 交易量
$131,368 交易量

本·巴特勒
31%

丹·格林
29%

Jorge Martinez
24%

Thomas Chalifoux
16%

Justin Story
<1%

霍華德·史蒂文·蘭斯
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

史蒂夫·蘭斯
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A crowded field of nine Republicans competing for the open nomination in Florida’s 9th Congressional District has produced a fragmented vote ahead of the August 18 primary. A mid-August Victory Insights poll of likely GOP primary voters found the top four candidates—Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, and Dan Green—statistically tied in the low-to-mid teens, with 41 percent undecided. Limited name recognition across the redrawn district, overlapping emphasis on affordability and reducing federal spending, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major outside spending have kept the contest tight. Late endorsements, such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s support for Green, along with final-week advertising and turnout efforts among different geographic and ideological segments of the electorate, could shift support and produce separation before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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