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icon for 詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份
政治·美國大選

詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份

icon for 詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份
政治·美國大選

詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份

Fishback 少於 10% 66%

費什巴克 10–15% 18%

費什貝克 15–20% 11%

Fishback 20–25% 7.0%

Polymarket

$23,707 交易量

Fishback 少於 10% 66%

費什巴克 10–15% 18%

費什貝克 15–20% 11%

Fishback 20–25% 7.0%

Polymarket

$23,707 交易量

Fishback 少於 10%

$21,081 交易量

66%

費什巴克 10–15%

$434 交易量

18%

費什貝克 15–20%

$609 交易量

11%

Fishback 20–25%

$849 交易量

7%

Fishback 25–30%

$368 交易量

5%

費什巴克30%+

$366 交易量

5%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**Recent legal and campaign developments have kept trader assessments of James Fishback’s performance in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary highly uncertain.** A lawsuit filed by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins challenges Fishback’s eligibility under the state constitution’s seven-year residency requirement, citing his voter registration and property ties in Washington, D.C.; Fishback has rejected the claims and highlighted his Florida driver’s license and roots as a fourth-generation Floridian. In a field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds—who holds a commanding lead in fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling—Fishback has positioned himself as an insurgent focused on housing affordability, wages, and immigration while naming Sean A. Lozano as his running mate and pressing for debates. These factors, combined with modest campaign resources and limited established support among Republican primary voters, sustain wide dispersion across vote-share outcomes. Resolution of the ballot challenge, debate participation, or new polling could shift probabilities in either direction ahead of the primary.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$23,707
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**Recent legal and campaign developments have kept trader assessments of James Fishback’s performance in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary highly uncertain.** A lawsuit filed by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins challenges Fishback’s eligibility under the state constitution’s seven-year residency requirement, citing his voter registration and property ties in Washington, D.C.; Fishback has rejected the claims and highlighted his Florida driver’s license and roots as a fourth-generation Floridian. In a field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds—who holds a commanding lead in fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling—Fishback has positioned himself as an insurgent focused on housing affordability, wages, and immigration while naming Sean A. Lozano as his running mate and pressing for debates. These factors, combined with modest campaign resources and limited established support among Republican primary voters, sustain wide dispersion across vote-share outcomes. Resolution of the ballot challenge, debate participation, or new polling could shift probabilities in either direction ahead of the primary.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$23,707
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fishback 少於 10%" at 66%, followed by "費什巴克 10–15%" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份" has generated $23.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份" is "Fishback 少於 10%" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "費什巴克 10–15%" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "詹姆斯·菲什巴克（ James Fishback ）在2026年佛羅裏達州共和黨州長初選中的投票份" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.