Sanford Bishop, the long-serving Democratic incumbent, faces Republican nominee Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt and Bishop’s established support among key voting blocs have produced comfortable majorities in prior cycles, reducing the likelihood of a fragmented vote that would trigger a runoff under Georgia’s majority requirement. Primaries concluded in May with no prolonged contests or notable third-party entries that might dilute support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% implied probability for an outright winner aligns with the absence of competitive dynamics or late developments capable of narrowing margins below 50%. Scheduled events through November offer limited scope to alter the current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
95% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
95% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Sanford Bishop, the long-serving Democratic incumbent, faces Republican nominee Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt and Bishop’s established support among key voting blocs have produced comfortable majorities in prior cycles, reducing the likelihood of a fragmented vote that would trigger a runoff under Georgia’s majority requirement. Primaries concluded in May with no prolonged contests or notable third-party entries that might dilute support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% implied probability for an outright winner aligns with the absence of competitive dynamics or late developments capable of narrowing margins below 50%. Scheduled events through November offer limited scope to alter the current positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$159結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Sanford Bishop, the long-serving Democratic incumbent, faces Republican nominee Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt and Bishop’s established support among key voting blocs have produced comfortable majorities in prior cycles, reducing the likelihood of a fragmented vote that would trigger a runoff under Georgia’s majority requirement. Primaries concluded in May with no prolonged contests or notable third-party entries that might dilute support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% implied probability for an outright winner aligns with the absence of competitive dynamics or late developments capable of narrowing margins below 50%. Scheduled events through November offer limited scope to alter the current positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
交易量
$159結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sanford Bishop, the long-serving Democratic incumbent, faces Republican nominee Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic tilt and Bishop’s established support among key voting blocs have produced comfortable majorities in prior cycles, reducing the likelihood of a fragmented vote that would trigger a runoff under Georgia’s majority requirement. Primaries concluded in May with no prolonged contests or notable third-party entries that might dilute support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% implied probability for an outright winner aligns with the absence of competitive dynamics or late developments capable of narrowing margins below 50%. Scheduled events through November offer limited scope to alter the current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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