Nigel Farage resigned as Clacton MP in July 2026 to trigger a by-election, which took place on 13 August amid scrutiny over donations and parliamentary financial inquiries. He secured re-election with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, including independents and fringe options, after major parties boycotted the contest. Farage remains the sitting Reform UK member, with the associated investigation resuming shortly after the result. No subsequent announcements, health issues, or procedural moves point to an imminent further vacancy before the end of 2026, supporting the 70% trader consensus against another by-election call this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2026年召開另一次克拉克頓補選？
在2026年召開另一次克拉克頓補選？
是
30% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
30% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Nigel Farage resigned as Clacton MP in July 2026 to trigger a by-election, which took place on 13 August amid scrutiny over donations and parliamentary financial inquiries. He secured re-election with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, including independents and fringe options, after major parties boycotted the contest. Farage remains the sitting Reform UK member, with the associated investigation resuming shortly after the result. No subsequent announcements, health issues, or procedural moves point to an imminent further vacancy before the end of 2026, supporting the 70% trader consensus against another by-election call this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Nigel Farage resigned as Clacton MP in July 2026 to trigger a by-election, which took place on 13 August amid scrutiny over donations and parliamentary financial inquiries. He secured re-election with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, including independents and fringe options, after major parties boycotted the contest. Farage remains the sitting Reform UK member, with the associated investigation resuming shortly after the result. No subsequent announcements, health issues, or procedural moves point to an imminent further vacancy before the end of 2026, supporting the 70% trader consensus against another by-election call this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nigel Farage resigned as Clacton MP in July 2026 to trigger a by-election, which took place on 13 August amid scrutiny over donations and parliamentary financial inquiries. He secured re-election with 63.3% of the vote against a field of 34 candidates, including independents and fringe options, after major parties boycotted the contest. Farage remains the sitting Reform UK member, with the associated investigation resuming shortly after the result. No subsequent announcements, health issues, or procedural moves point to an imminent further vacancy before the end of 2026, supporting the 70% trader consensus against another by-election call this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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