Recent UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026 have been driven primarily by MP resignations tied to leadership transitions, devolved election outcomes, health concerns, and standards investigations. Five contests have already occurred: Gorton and Denton in February after Andrew Gwynne’s departure, three simultaneous votes in June linked to Scottish Parliament results and Josh Simons stepping aside for Andy Burnham, and Clacton in August following Nigel Farage’s resignation amid financial scrutiny. Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation has now triggered a sixth in Holborn and St Pancras. Trader consensus around six or seven total reflects the pace of vacancies created by these events, with limited further triggers expected before year-end absent additional personal or procedural developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6 74%
7 22%
10+ 3.5%
8 2.7%
$29,598 交易量
$29,598 交易量
≤5
1%
6
74%
7
22%
8
3%
9
1%
10+
3%
6 74%
7 22%
10+ 3.5%
8 2.7%
$29,598 交易量
$29,598 交易量
≤5
1%
6
74%
7
22%
8
3%
9
1%
10+
3%
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Recent UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026 have been driven primarily by MP resignations tied to leadership transitions, devolved election outcomes, health concerns, and standards investigations. Five contests have already occurred: Gorton and Denton in February after Andrew Gwynne’s departure, three simultaneous votes in June linked to Scottish Parliament results and Josh Simons stepping aside for Andy Burnham, and Clacton in August following Nigel Farage’s resignation amid financial scrutiny. Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation has now triggered a sixth in Holborn and St Pancras. Trader consensus around six or seven total reflects the pace of vacancies created by these events, with limited further triggers expected before year-end absent additional personal or procedural developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions