Wyoming's 2026 U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features an open Republican-held seat after incumbent Cynthia Lummis declined to run, alongside concurrent open races for governor and U.S. House. With roughly 272,000 registered voters—predominantly Republican—and forecasts rating the contest safe for the GOP nominee, trader sentiment remains split across mid-range turnout bins because the lack of a competitive general-election contest limits broad mobilization while multiple statewide open seats and today's primary could sustain baseline participation. Historical patterns in low-population rural states show turnout sensitive to early and absentee voting trends, candidate-driven get-out-the-vote efforts, and any late national or state-specific developments that either suppress or elevate engagement before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於150K 45%
150,000-170,000 45%
190,000-210,000 45%
210K-230K 45%
少於150K
45%
150,000-170,000
45%
170K-190K
44%
190,000-210,000
45%
210K-230K
45%
230K-250K
45%
25 萬+
45%
少於150K 45%
150,000-170,000 45%
190,000-210,000 45%
210K-230K 45%
少於150K
45%
150,000-170,000
45%
170K-190K
44%
190,000-210,000
45%
210K-230K
45%
230K-250K
45%
25 萬+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wyoming's 2026 U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features an open Republican-held seat after incumbent Cynthia Lummis declined to run, alongside concurrent open races for governor and U.S. House. With roughly 272,000 registered voters—predominantly Republican—and forecasts rating the contest safe for the GOP nominee, trader sentiment remains split across mid-range turnout bins because the lack of a competitive general-election contest limits broad mobilization while multiple statewide open seats and today's primary could sustain baseline participation. Historical patterns in low-population rural states show turnout sensitive to early and absentee voting trends, candidate-driven get-out-the-vote efforts, and any late national or state-specific developments that either suppress or elevate engagement before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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