In South Dakota's November 2026 Senate contest, incumbent Republican Mike Rounds faces independent Brian Bengs following the withdrawal of the Democratic nominee. The race's limited competitiveness and absence of high-profile national issues have kept voter mobilization modest. Recent primary turnout near 36% reflects subdued engagement typical of off-year contests in the state. Historical general election participation ranges from the mid-50s percent in midterms to over 60% in presidential years, but registered voter totals around 330,000 and minimal campaign intensity point to a likely outcome in the 300,000–375,000 range. Trader consensus remains tight across these bands because small shifts in rural turnout or independent mobilization could alter the final tally without changing the overall low-engagement environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於325K-350K 45%
少於250K 44%
250K-275K 44%
275K-300K 44%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於250K
44%
250K-275K
44%
275K-300K
44%
30萬-32.5萬
44%
325K-350K
45%
350K-375K
44%
375K-400K
44%
40萬以上
44%
325K-350K 45%
少於250K 44%
250K-275K 44%
275K-300K 44%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於250K
$0 交易量
44%
250K-275K
$0 交易量
44%
275K-300K
$0 交易量
44%
30萬-32.5萬
$0 交易量
44%
325K-350K
$0 交易量
45%
350K-375K
$0 交易量
44%
375K-400K
$0 交易量
44%
40萬以上
$0 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In South Dakota's November 2026 Senate contest, incumbent Republican Mike Rounds faces independent Brian Bengs following the withdrawal of the Democratic nominee. The race's limited competitiveness and absence of high-profile national issues have kept voter mobilization modest. Recent primary turnout near 36% reflects subdued engagement typical of off-year contests in the state. Historical general election participation ranges from the mid-50s percent in midterms to over 60% in presidential years, but registered voter totals around 330,000 and minimal campaign intensity point to a likely outcome in the 300,000–375,000 range. Trader consensus remains tight across these bands because small shifts in rural turnout or independent mobilization could alter the final tally without changing the overall low-engagement environment.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In South Dakota's November 2026 Senate contest, incumbent Republican Mike Rounds faces independent Brian Bengs following the withdrawal of the Democratic nominee. The race's limited competitiveness and absence of high-profile national issues have kept voter mobilization modest. Recent primary turnout near 36% reflects subdued engagement typical of off-year contests in the state. Historical general election participation ranges from the mid-50s percent in midterms to over 60% in presidential years, but registered voter totals around 330,000 and minimal campaign intensity point to a likely outcome in the 300,000–375,000 range. Trader consensus remains tight across these bands because small shifts in rural turnout or independent mobilization could alter the final tally without changing the overall low-engagement environment.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In South Dakota's November 2026 Senate contest, incumbent Republican Mike Rounds faces independent Brian Bengs following the withdrawal of the Democratic nominee. The race's limited competitiveness and absence of high-profile national issues have kept voter mobilization modest. Recent primary turnout near 36% reflects subdued engagement typical of off-year contests in the state. Historical general election participation ranges from the mid-50s percent in midterms to over 60% in presidential years, but registered voter totals around 330,000 and minimal campaign intensity point to a likely outcome in the 300,000–375,000 range. Trader consensus remains tight across these bands because small shifts in rural turnout or independent mobilization could alter the final tally without changing the overall low-engagement environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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