Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic tilt shown in prior cycles. DelBene's established fundraising, name recognition, and role in national party operations reinforce her position heading into the November 3 general election. The seat's voter composition and historical margins limit Republican pathways absent a significant national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee given these structural advantages, though late-cycle events such as turnout surges or candidate withdrawals could still alter dynamics within the remaining campaign window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,353 交易量
$43,353 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
2%
$43,353 交易量
$43,353 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$23,509 交易量
95%
共和黨
$19,844 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic tilt shown in prior cycles. DelBene's established fundraising, name recognition, and role in national party operations reinforce her position heading into the November 3 general election. The seat's voter composition and historical margins limit Republican pathways absent a significant national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee given these structural advantages, though late-cycle events such as turnout surges or candidate withdrawals could still alter dynamics within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$43,353結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic tilt shown in prior cycles. DelBene's established fundraising, name recognition, and role in national party operations reinforce her position heading into the November 3 general election. The seat's voter composition and historical margins limit Republican pathways absent a significant national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee given these structural advantages, though late-cycle events such as turnout surges or candidate withdrawals could still alter dynamics within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,353結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic tilt shown in prior cycles. DelBene's established fundraising, name recognition, and role in national party operations reinforce her position heading into the November 3 general election. The seat's voter composition and historical margins limit Republican pathways absent a significant national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee given these structural advantages, though late-cycle events such as turnout surges or candidate withdrawals could still alter dynamics within the remaining campaign window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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