Incumbent Democratic Representative Rick Larsen advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Edwin Feller in the state’s 2nd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Larsen’s long tenure. Forecasters note the area’s voting patterns, including a Democratic presidential margin in the prior cycle, and the absence of recent events that would shift the competitive balance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A sustained national Republican wave, unanticipated candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking controversy could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,895 交易量
$17,895 交易量
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$17,895 交易量
$17,895 交易量
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Rick Larsen advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Edwin Feller in the state’s 2nd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Larsen’s long tenure. Forecasters note the area’s voting patterns, including a Democratic presidential margin in the prior cycle, and the absence of recent events that would shift the competitive balance. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A sustained national Republican wave, unanticipated candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking controversy could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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