The CA-34 general election pits Democratic incumbent Jimmy Gomez against fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres after the June 2026 primary advanced only those two candidates, with the Republican entrant finishing well behind. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, makes a party switch effectively impossible under standard electoral conditions. Trader consensus at 96.6% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any recent polling, endorsements, or events suggesting otherwise. A Republican outcome would require highly improbable developments such as candidate disqualification, major scandals, or sudden shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window through November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,310 交易量
$46,310 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
97%
共和黨
1%
$46,310 交易量
$46,310 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$17,954 交易量
97%
共和黨
$28,356 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CA-34 general election pits Democratic incumbent Jimmy Gomez against fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres after the June 2026 primary advanced only those two candidates, with the Republican entrant finishing well behind. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, makes a party switch effectively impossible under standard electoral conditions. Trader consensus at 96.6% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any recent polling, endorsements, or events suggesting otherwise. A Republican outcome would require highly improbable developments such as candidate disqualification, major scandals, or sudden shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$46,310結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CA-34 general election pits Democratic incumbent Jimmy Gomez against fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres after the June 2026 primary advanced only those two candidates, with the Republican entrant finishing well behind. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, makes a party switch effectively impossible under standard electoral conditions. Trader consensus at 96.6% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any recent polling, endorsements, or events suggesting otherwise. A Republican outcome would require highly improbable developments such as candidate disqualification, major scandals, or sudden shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,310結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The CA-34 general election pits Democratic incumbent Jimmy Gomez against fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres after the June 2026 primary advanced only those two candidates, with the Republican entrant finishing well behind. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, makes a party switch effectively impossible under standard electoral conditions. Trader consensus at 96.6% for Democrats aligns with this structural reality and the absence of any recent polling, endorsements, or events suggesting otherwise. A Republican outcome would require highly improbable developments such as candidate disqualification, major scandals, or sudden shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window through November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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