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icon for CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

icon for CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

Polymarket

$18,118 交易量

Polymarket

$18,118 交易量

Angela Gonzales-Torres

$5,980 交易量

80%

Jimmy Gomez

$12,138 交易量

20%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 34th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat, the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres to the November general election. Trader consensus assigns Gonzales-Torres an implied probability near 80 percent for the win, reflecting her performance among Democratic voters and any subsequent shifts in campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 ballot. Gomez, who secured the top primary spot with 46 percent, holds the remaining share amid the district's consistent partisan lean. Other listed candidates and outcomes sit near even odds, consistent with the race's resolution between the two primary advancers. The Cook Political Report and similar ratings classify the contest as safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover risk.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,118
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:10 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 34th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat, the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres to the November general election. Trader consensus assigns Gonzales-Torres an implied probability near 80 percent for the win, reflecting her performance among Democratic voters and any subsequent shifts in campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 ballot. Gomez, who secured the top primary spot with 46 percent, holds the remaining share amid the district's consistent partisan lean. Other listed candidates and outcomes sit near even odds, consistent with the race's resolution between the two primary advancers. The Cook Political Report and similar ratings classify the contest as safe Democratic, underscoring limited crossover risk.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,118
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:10 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Angela Gonzales-Torres" at 80%, followed by "Jimmy Gomez" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" has generated $18.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is "Angela Gonzales-Torres" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jimmy Gomez" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-34眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.