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icon for CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

icon for CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）
政治·中期

CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新

Lateefah Simon

$1,454 交易量

95%

Jamie Joyce

$1,107 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon holds a commanding lead in the California 12th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent, strong primary performance with over 84 percent of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce, and the district's solidly Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Simon's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Joyce's limited resources, has reinforced her position ahead of the November general election under California's top-two primary system. Both candidates advanced from the June primary in this East Bay district. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of an upset in a seat last won by wide margins, though late developments such as shifts in voter turnout or unforeseen events within the resolution window could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,561
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon holds a commanding lead in the California 12th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent, strong primary performance with over 84 percent of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce, and the district's solidly Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Simon's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Joyce's limited resources, has reinforced her position ahead of the November general election under California's top-two primary system. Both candidates advanced from the June primary in this East Bay district. Trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of an upset in a seat last won by wide margins, though late developments such as shifts in voter turnout or unforeseen events within the resolution window could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,561
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lateefah Simon" at 95%, followed by "Jamie Joyce" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" is "Lateefah Simon" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jamie Joyce" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-12眾議院選舉獲勝者（個人）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.