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政治·巴西

朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家

icon for 朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家

馬可斯·羅熱里奧 80%

Adailton Furia 11%

佩德羅·阿比布 3.3%

Expedito Netto 2.8%

Polymarket
最新

馬可斯·羅熱里奧 80%

Adailton Furia 11%

佩德羅·阿比布 3.3%

Expedito Netto 2.8%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 馬可斯·羅熱里奧

馬可斯·羅熱里奧

$1,650 交易量

80%

icon for Adailton Furia

Adailton Furia

$443 交易量

11%

icon for 佩德羅·阿比布

佩德羅·阿比布

$126 交易量

3%

icon for Expedito Netto

Expedito Netto

$513 交易量

3%

icon for 薩繆爾·科斯塔

薩繆爾·科斯塔

$84 交易量

1%

icon for 希爾登·查維斯

希爾登·查維斯

$593 交易量

<1%

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial race due to his official party nomination at recent conventions, established name recognition from his 2022 runoff performance, and consistent leads in early polling against a fragmented field. Traders assign him an 80% implied probability, reflecting his advantages in the first-round contest scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Other confirmed candidates including Adailton Fúria (PSD), Samuel Costa (PSB), Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and Pedro Abib (MDB) trail significantly in surveys and market pricing. Key variables include ongoing campaign momentum, voter turnout patterns, and any shifts in coalition alignments before the vote.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,409
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial race due to his official party nomination at recent conventions, established name recognition from his 2022 runoff performance, and consistent leads in early polling against a fragmented field. Traders assign him an 80% implied probability, reflecting his advantages in the first-round contest scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Other confirmed candidates including Adailton Fúria (PSD), Samuel Costa (PSB), Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and Pedro Abib (MDB) trail significantly in surveys and market pricing. Key variables include ongoing campaign momentum, voter turnout patterns, and any shifts in coalition alignments before the vote.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,409
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬可斯·羅熱里奧" at 80%, followed by "Adailton Furia" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" is "馬可斯·羅熱里奧" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adailton Furia" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "朗多尼亞州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.