Renato Casagrande (PSB), the former governor who resigned in early 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo race for first place due to his strong name recognition and consistent polling advantage. Multiple surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 24-31% support, far ahead of challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and others in single digits. Incumbent senators face re-election hurdles against Casagrande’s established statewide profile and coalition backing. With the October 4 general election approaching and no major recent shifts reported, trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and structural factors in the two-seat contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於雷納托·卡薩格蘭德 84%
Evair de Melo 5.3%
法比亞諾·孔塔拉托 5.1%
Leonardo Monjardim 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷納托·卡薩格蘭德
84%
Evair de Melo
5%
法比亞諾·孔塔拉托
5%
Leonardo Monjardim
4%
羅塞·德·弗雷塔斯
4%
Callegari
4%
塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利
4%
Maguinha Malta
4%
Rodney Miranda
4%
費比安教授
3%
馬科斯·杜·瓦爾
3%
雷納托·卡薩格蘭德 84%
Evair de Melo 5.3%
法比亞諾·孔塔拉托 5.1%
Leonardo Monjardim 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷納托·卡薩格蘭德
$3,525 交易量
84%
Evair de Melo
$56 交易量
5%
法比亞諾·孔塔拉托
$72 交易量
5%
Leonardo Monjardim
$56 交易量
4%
羅塞·德·弗雷塔斯
$56 交易量
4%
Callegari
$63 交易量
4%
塞爾吉奧·梅內古埃利
$76 交易量
4%
Maguinha Malta
$75 交易量
4%
Rodney Miranda
$74 交易量
4%
費比安教授
$72 交易量
3%
馬科斯·杜·瓦爾
$75 交易量
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB), the former governor who resigned in early 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo race for first place due to his strong name recognition and consistent polling advantage. Multiple surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 24-31% support, far ahead of challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and others in single digits. Incumbent senators face re-election hurdles against Casagrande’s established statewide profile and coalition backing. With the October 4 general election approaching and no major recent shifts reported, trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and structural factors in the two-seat contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,201結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB), the former governor who resigned in early 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo race for first place due to his strong name recognition and consistent polling advantage. Multiple surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 24-31% support, far ahead of challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and others in single digits. Incumbent senators face re-election hurdles against Casagrande’s established statewide profile and coalition backing. With the October 4 general election approaching and no major recent shifts reported, trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and structural factors in the two-seat contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$4,201結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande (PSB), the former governor who resigned in early 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads the Espírito Santo race for first place due to his strong name recognition and consistent polling advantage. Multiple surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 24-31% support, far ahead of challengers such as Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, and others in single digits. Incumbent senators face re-election hurdles against Casagrande’s established statewide profile and coalition backing. With the October 4 general election approaching and no major recent shifts reported, trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and structural factors in the two-seat contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions