Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding lead in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 9–18 points over the field since spring 2026. As part of the popular João Campos (PSB) gubernatorial ticket, her strong name recognition, prior federal deputy service, and family political legacy in the state have driven voter preference. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data (mid-August) and Quaest (late July), place her at 19–29% while Humberto Costa (PT), the incumbent seeking a third term on the same slate, and Mendonça Filho (PL) trail in the low-to-mid teens for the second seat. No major late shifts or disqualifying events have altered the ordering, leaving the two-vacancy contest on October 4 focused on turnout among Arraes’s base and consolidation behind her main rivals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marília Arraes 72%
Humberto Costa 17.9%
Mendonça Filho 6.4%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
72%
Humberto Costa
18%
Mendonça Filho
6%
Eduardo da Fonte
4%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
4%
Carlos Sant'Anna
4%
Gorett Bitu
4%
Mailson da Silva Neto
4%
Samuel Timoteo
4%
Mariano Macedo
3%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 72%
Humberto Costa 17.9%
Mendonça Filho 6.4%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
$3,869 交易量
72%
Humberto Costa
$412 交易量
18%
Mendonça Filho
$146 交易量
6%
Eduardo da Fonte
$143 交易量
4%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$146 交易量
4%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$143 交易量
4%
Gorett Bitu
$146 交易量
4%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$174 交易量
4%
Samuel Timoteo
$168 交易量
4%
Mariano Macedo
$154 交易量
3%
Túlio Gadêlha
$146 交易量
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$146 交易量
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding lead in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 9–18 points over the field since spring 2026. As part of the popular João Campos (PSB) gubernatorial ticket, her strong name recognition, prior federal deputy service, and family political legacy in the state have driven voter preference. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data (mid-August) and Quaest (late July), place her at 19–29% while Humberto Costa (PT), the incumbent seeking a third term on the same slate, and Mendonça Filho (PL) trail in the low-to-mid teens for the second seat. No major late shifts or disqualifying events have altered the ordering, leaving the two-vacancy contest on October 4 focused on turnout among Arraes’s base and consolidation behind her main rivals.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$5,795結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding lead in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 9–18 points over the field since spring 2026. As part of the popular João Campos (PSB) gubernatorial ticket, her strong name recognition, prior federal deputy service, and family political legacy in the state have driven voter preference. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data (mid-August) and Quaest (late July), place her at 19–29% while Humberto Costa (PT), the incumbent seeking a third term on the same slate, and Mendonça Filho (PL) trail in the low-to-mid teens for the second seat. No major late shifts or disqualifying events have altered the ordering, leaving the two-vacancy contest on October 4 focused on turnout among Arraes’s base and consolidation behind her main rivals.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,795結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a commanding lead in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 9–18 points over the field since spring 2026. As part of the popular João Campos (PSB) gubernatorial ticket, her strong name recognition, prior federal deputy service, and family political legacy in the state have driven voter preference. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data (mid-August) and Quaest (late July), place her at 19–29% while Humberto Costa (PT), the incumbent seeking a third term on the same slate, and Mendonça Filho (PL) trail in the low-to-mid teens for the second seat. No major late shifts or disqualifying events have altered the ordering, leaving the two-vacancy contest on October 4 focused on turnout among Arraes’s base and consolidation behind her main rivals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions