Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於翁貝托·科斯塔 53%
Mendonça Filho 27%
卡洛斯·聖安娜 23%
Gorett Bitu 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
翁貝托·科斯塔
53%
Mendonça Filho
27%
卡洛斯·聖安娜
23%
Gorett Bitu
23%
馬里亞諾·馬塞多
23%
Mailson da Silva Neto
23%
薩繆爾·蒂莫泰奧
21%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
21%
圖利奧·加德利亞
21%
埃杜阿多·達·豐特
19%
馬麗利亞·阿拉埃斯
17%
吉爾萬·科斯塔牧師
16%
翁貝托·科斯塔 53%
Mendonça Filho 27%
卡洛斯·聖安娜 23%
Gorett Bitu 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
翁貝托·科斯塔
$395 交易量
53%
Mendonça Filho
$20 交易量
27%
卡洛斯·聖安娜
$20 交易量
23%
Gorett Bitu
$20 交易量
23%
馬里亞諾·馬塞多
$20 交易量
23%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$20 交易量
23%
薩繆爾·蒂莫泰奧
$20 交易量
21%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$20 交易量
21%
圖利奧·加德利亞
$20 交易量
21%
埃杜阿多·達·豐特
$20 交易量
19%
馬麗利亞·阿拉埃斯
$20 交易量
17%
吉爾萬·科斯塔牧師
$20 交易量
16%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$615結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$615結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions