Lula maintains a commanding trader consensus at 96% for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first round, driven by his longstanding dominance across Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. His renomination with Geraldo Alckmin and established PT regional networks reinforce this edge, even as national polls show a tighter race against Flávio Bolsonaro. The latter’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar has provided only marginal counter-momentum, given Bolsonaro family strength concentrated in southern and southeastern states. Recent campaign emphasis on national sovereignty has further aligned with Northeast priorities. Late developments such as turnout shifts among swing blocs or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited realistic paths to overtaking the frontrunner before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於盧拉 96.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.1%
澤馬 <1%
克拉里亞納·巴拉奧 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
盧拉
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
澤馬
1%
克拉里亞納·巴拉奧
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
<1%
獸醫Wilson Grassi
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
作家奧古斯托·庫裡
<1%
羅納爾多·凱亞多
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
盧拉 96.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.1%
澤馬 <1%
克拉里亞納·巴拉奧 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
盧拉
$4,273 交易量
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$252 交易量
1%
澤馬
$236 交易量
1%
克拉里亞納·巴拉奧
$225 交易量
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$236 交易量
<1%
獸醫Wilson Grassi
$225 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$236 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$191 交易量
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$236 交易量
<1%
作家奧古斯托·庫裡
$225 交易量
<1%
羅納爾多·凱亞多
$236 交易量
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$236 交易量
<1%
Samara
$191 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding trader consensus at 96% for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first round, driven by his longstanding dominance across Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. His renomination with Geraldo Alckmin and established PT regional networks reinforce this edge, even as national polls show a tighter race against Flávio Bolsonaro. The latter’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar has provided only marginal counter-momentum, given Bolsonaro family strength concentrated in southern and southeastern states. Recent campaign emphasis on national sovereignty has further aligned with Northeast priorities. Late developments such as turnout shifts among swing blocs or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited realistic paths to overtaking the frontrunner before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,003結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding trader consensus at 96% for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first round, driven by his longstanding dominance across Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. His renomination with Geraldo Alckmin and established PT regional networks reinforce this edge, even as national polls show a tighter race against Flávio Bolsonaro. The latter’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar has provided only marginal counter-momentum, given Bolsonaro family strength concentrated in southern and southeastern states. Recent campaign emphasis on national sovereignty has further aligned with Northeast priorities. Late developments such as turnout shifts among swing blocs or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited realistic paths to overtaking the frontrunner before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$7,003結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding trader consensus at 96% for first place in Alagoas during the October 4 first round, driven by his longstanding dominance across Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. His renomination with Geraldo Alckmin and established PT regional networks reinforce this edge, even as national polls show a tighter race against Flávio Bolsonaro. The latter’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar has provided only marginal counter-momentum, given Bolsonaro family strength concentrated in southern and southeastern states. Recent campaign emphasis on national sovereignty has further aligned with Northeast priorities. Late developments such as turnout shifts among swing blocs or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited realistic paths to overtaking the frontrunner before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions