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icon for 北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家

icon for 北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家

艾莉森 75%

Cadu de Lula 18%

阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯 7%

羅伯里奧·保利諾教授 2.0%

Polymarket
最新

艾莉森 75%

Cadu de Lula 18%

阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯 7%

羅伯里奧·保利諾教授 2.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 艾莉森

艾莉森

$1,612 交易量

75%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$382 交易量

18%

icon for 阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯

阿爾瓦羅·迪亞斯

$219 交易量

7%

icon for 羅伯里奧·保利諾教授

羅伯里奧·保利諾教授

$251 交易量

2%

icon for 羅德里戈・波索納羅

羅德里戈・波索納羅

$261 交易量

1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$262 交易量

1%

icon for 卡洛斯·賈拉拉卡

卡洛斯·賈拉拉卡

$240 交易量

1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$237 交易量

<1%

icon for 達里奧·巴爾博薩

達里奧·巴爾博薩

$229 交易量

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra of União Brasil leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with a substantial margin in recent polling and a formalized center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. His late-July 2026 convention launch as the nominee, following service as Mossoró mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu Xavier of the PT remains the primary challenger on the left, while Álvaro Dias of the PL and smaller candidates trail further behind. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the election timeline and coalition breadth serving as the main near-term influences on implied probabilities.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,691
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra of União Brasil leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with a substantial margin in recent polling and a formalized center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. His late-July 2026 convention launch as the nominee, following service as Mossoró mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu Xavier of the PT remains the primary challenger on the left, while Álvaro Dias of the PL and smaller candidates trail further behind. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the election timeline and coalition breadth serving as the main near-term influences on implied probabilities.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,691
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾莉森" at 75%, followed by "Cadu de Lula" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" is "艾莉森" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cadu de Lula" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "北裏奧格蘭德州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.