Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於雷南·桑托斯 53%
Ronaldo Caiado 39%
羅梅烏·澤馬 4.9%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅 4.0%
$549,272 交易量
$549,272 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
53%
Ronaldo Caiado
39%
羅梅烏·澤馬
5%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
愛德華多·博索納羅
<1%
費爾南多·哈達德
<1%
塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
賈伊爾·博索納羅
<1%
阿爾多·雷貝洛
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
米歇爾·波索納羅
<1%
哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
愛杜亞多·萊特
<1%
埃爾德·巴爾巴略
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 53%
Ronaldo Caiado 39%
羅梅烏·澤馬 4.9%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅 4.0%
$549,272 交易量
$549,272 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$183,718 交易量
53%
Ronaldo Caiado
$52,693 交易量
39%
羅梅烏·澤馬
$22,539 交易量
5%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅
$25,103 交易量
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$13,872 交易量
1%
愛德華多·博索納羅
$45,571 交易量
<1%
費爾南多·哈達德
$21,713 交易量
<1%
塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
$8,747 交易量
<1%
賈伊爾·博索納羅
$7,754 交易量
<1%
阿爾多·雷貝洛
$9,865 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$4,083 交易量
<1%
米歇爾·波索納羅
$12,815 交易量
<1%
哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾
$104,175 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
$13,084 交易量
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$10,684 交易量
<1%
愛杜亞多·萊特
$9,374 交易量
<1%
埃爾德·巴爾巴略
$3,481 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$549,272結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$549,272結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions